Since January 18th I have been modelling the Wuhan/China #covid19 outbreak. Until 18 February I wrote a couple of post formulating a very basic model and seeing how it does. You find that here, here, here, here and here and overall the fit was good. Now a month later let's see how the model does … Continue reading #CoViD19: A final #coronavirus #modelling update
It has been a few days since the Chinese authorities changed their definition of "confirmed case" in describing the #coronavirus outbreak. In a previous post I checked whether my model needed modification, which seemed only minor. Now with a few days more of 'new' data, let's see what we find. Mortality shifts There is a … Continue reading #CoViD19: A #coronavirus #modelling update
A few days ago I presented a simple model for the outbreak of the Coronavirus and the main conclusion of that was that the numbers reported by the Chinese authorities seems sensible and reasonable. That does not make them correct of course but it should make us weary of outlandish conspiracy theories. Here is an … Continue reading Modelling #2019NCoV: An Update
Inspired by mathematical models of learning in games I set-up a simplistic model of a learner that slowly seeks her way into learning new knowledge and analyse how in such a model two model students can interact. The results suggest something interesting regarding the timing of group-work in courses. Learning in Games One context in … Continue reading The Econophysics of Learning: A model student #1
I thought it a good idea to start the "opinions" category on this blogsite with an entry concerning my own approach to what I do: Econophysics. Is there really such a thing and, if yes, is it a good thing? I will argue there is such a thing, that it is a good thing but … Continue reading Opinions #1: Is there such a thing as “Econophysics”?