A quick update of the ECON2020-21 forecasting game, just before the England - Scotland game hits us. England - Scotland The game of tonight is evidently England - Scotland. It's make-it-or-break-it for Scotland while England has a chance to secure their place in the knockout phase. I will be watching it in a very relaxed … Continue reading ECON2020-21: Updates & Score 18/6
The second round of games has started with group A seeing all their 2nd encounters. The decision time is coming for some of the teams. Does that also mean it is decision time for the brave forecasters of the ECON2020-21 tournament? Do we have a new leader? It is just two days ago since our … Continue reading ECON2020-21: Updates & Score 16/6
On the days of the group phase results come in fast and aplenty. Four games have been played since our first update. So what has changed? Do we have a new leader? And how does the ECON MEAN committee estimate do? Are we "better together"? When I last write an update, a little over 24h … Continue reading ECON2020-21: Updates & Score 14/6
Here you will find the most recent updates and scores. Feel free to comment on the results! 13/06/2021: First Results This tournament started with a bang and a shocker. I think all those who were watching the game Denmark - Finland will have shared the feeling of shock watching Christian Eriksen fall. After a tense … Continue reading ECON2020-21: Updates & Score 13/6
In this series of posts I will explore what it would be like if an economy was entirely, or almost entirely, running on "public goods". In this first post I will explore what "public goods" are, how we are already part of a public-goods-economy and how people excel at making public goods non-public. What are … Continue reading A public goods Economy I
When students get marks for different components of assessment in courses at school or university, then the overall mark for their course is usually some kind of weighted arithmetic mean. In this short post I want to make the case that use of the weighted geometric mean would in many cases be much more useful. … Continue reading The case of the geometric mean in Education
Students and school pupils are going through a very tough time in these months of global pandemic and weeks of necessary street protest against racism, discrimination and (police) violence. Something that keeps coming up is the need to listen. Yet it seems to be the key quality at which we fail, even in schools and … Continue reading Opinion #4: Counselling, tutoring, listening and why so many institutions fail at it.
Utilitarian narratives about Education are so prevalent nowadays that we tend to take them entirely as given, or worse as evidence-based. Often we don't even recognise they are based on layers or assumptions that almost all fail when confronted with reality. So let me be polemic and argue what is false about so much that … Continue reading Opinion #3: The narrative of much that is written about education is false.
Since January 18th I have been modelling the Wuhan/China #covid19 outbreak. Until 18 February I wrote a couple of post formulating a very basic model and seeing how it does. You find that here, here, here, here and here and overall the fit was good. Now a month later let's see how the model does … Continue reading #CoViD19: A final #coronavirus #modelling update
It has been a few days since the Chinese authorities changed their definition of "confirmed case" in describing the #coronavirus outbreak. In a previous post I checked whether my model needed modification, which seemed only minor. Now with a few days more of 'new' data, let's see what we find. Mortality shifts There is a … Continue reading #CoViD19: A #coronavirus #modelling update